Impact of Inflation on Economic Growth in the Indian Economy

Authors

  • Monica Research Scholar, Department of Economics, M.M.H College, Ghaziabad, U.P., India
  • Dr. Ajit Singh Associate Professor, Department of Regional Economics, Mahatma Jyotiba Phule Rohilkhand University, Bareilly, U.P., India

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11080262

Keywords:

inflation, economic growth, cointegration, error correction model, indian economy

Abstract

This study explores the complex relationship between inflation and economic growth in India, focusing on both short- and long-term dynamics over the past three decades. The research employs a rigorous analytical framework, consisting of the Johansen cointegration test and the Error Correction model, to investigate the impact of inflation on economic growth in India for the period spanning 1980-2022. The findings of this study reveal a notable long-run negative relationship between economic growth and inflation in the Indian economy. This result contributes to the ongoing debate in economic literature regarding the influence of inflation on economic growth and provides valuable insights into the specific characteristics of the Indian economy.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Andres, J., & Hernando, I. (1999). Does inflation harm economic growth? Evidence from the OECD. Chicago, IL, US: University of Chicago Press. ———. (1997). Does inflation harm economic growth? Evidence from OECD (Working Paper No. 6062). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economics Research.

Barro, R. (1996). Determinants of economic growth: A crosscountry empirical study. NBER Working Paper, 56(98), 22-29.

Behera, J. (2014). Inflation and its impact on economic growth: Evidence from six South Asian countries. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 5(7), 145–154.

Behera, J., & Mishra, A. K. (2016). Inflation and economic growth in BRICS: Evidence from ARDL bound testing approach. Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, 4(1), 1–17.

Bhaduri, N. S. (2007). Revisiting the growth inflation nexus: A wavelet analysis. (Working Paper No. 77/2013). Chennai, India: Madras School of Economics.

Bruno, M., & Easterly, W. (1998). Inflation crises and long-run growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 41, 3-26.

Cameron, N., Hum, D., & Simpson, W. (1996). Stylized facts and stylized illusions inflation and productivity revisited. Canadian Journal of Economics, 29(1), 152–162.

Datta, K., & Kumar, C. (2011). Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth in Malaysia. International Conference on Economics and Finance Research IPEDR, 4(2), 415-16.

De Gregario, J. (1992). Effects of inflation on economic growth: Lession from Latin America. European Economic Review, 36(April), 417–425.

Dorrance, S. (1963). The effects of inflation on economic development. Staff Papers, International Monetary Fund, 1(10), 1–47.

Dotsey, M., & Ireland, P. (1996). The welfare cost of inflation in general equilibrium. Journal of Monetary Economics, 37, 29-47.

Eckstein, Z., & Leiderman, L. (1992). Seignorage and the welfare cost of inflation. Journal of Monetary Economics 29, 389-410.

Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276.

Engle, R.F., & B.S. Yoo. (1991). Cointegrated economic time series: an overview with new results. in R.F. Engle and C.W.J. Granger, eds., Long-Run Economic Relationships, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp.237-266.

Erbaykal, E., & Okuyan, H. A. (2008). Does inflation depress economic growth? Evidence from Turkey. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 17, 1450–2885.

Faria, J. R., & Carneiro, F. G. (2001). Does high inflation affect growth in the long and short run. Journal of Applied Economics, 4(1), 89–105.

Feldstein, M. (1982). Inflation tax rules and investment: Some econometric evidence. Econometrica, 50, 825–862.

Fischer, S. (1981). Towards an understanding of the costs of inflation. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 15, 5-41.

Fischer, S. (1993). Inflation and growth (NEBR Working Paper No. 1235), pp. 267–278. Cambridge, MA: NEBR.

Friedman, M. (1956). Quantity theory of money: A restatement. in M. Frideman (Ed.), Studies in the quantity theory of money (pp. 3–21). Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.

Gillman, M. (1993). The welfare cost of inflation in a cashin advance economy with costly credit. Journal of Monetary Economics, 31, 97-115.

Gujarati, N. (2004). Basic econometrics. 4th ed. New York: The McGraw-Hill.

Gylfason, T. (1998). Output gains from economic stabilization. Journal of Development Economics, 56(1), 81–96.

Lee, C. C., & Wong, S. Y. (2005). Inflationary threshold effects in the relationship between financial development and economic growth: Evidence from Taiwan and Japan. Journal of Economic Development, 30(1), 4969.

Mallik, G., & Chowdhury, A. (2001). Inflation and economic growth: Evidence from South Asian countries. Asian Pacific Development Journal, 8(1), 123–135.

Mohanty, D., Chakraborty, A. B., Das, A., & Jogn, J. (2011). Inflation threshold in India: An empirical investigation (Reserve Bank of India Working Paper Series No. 18). India: RBI.

Mubarik, Y. A. (2005). Inflation and growth: An estimate of the threshold level of inflation in Pakistan. State Bank of Pakistan Research Bulletin, 1(1), 35–44.

Munir, Q., Mansur, K., & Furuoka, F. (2009). Inflation and economic growth in Malaysia: A threshold regression approach. ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 26(2), 180–193.

Naqvi, S. N. H., & Khan, A. H. (1989). Inflation and growth: An analysis of recent trends in Pakistan. Islambad: Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.

Saeed, A. A. J. (2007). Inflation and economic growth in Kuwait 1985–2005: Evidence from coinetgration and error correction model. Journal of Applied Econometrics and International Development, 7(1), 143–155.

Shi, S. (1999). Search, inflation and capital accumulation. Journal of Monetary Economics, 44(1), 81-103.

Sidrauski, M. (1967). Rational choice and patterns of growth in a monetary economy. American Economic Review, 57(2), 534–544.

Stockman, A. C. (1981). Anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash advance economy. Journal of Monetary Economics, 8(3), 387–393.

Sweidan, O. D. (2004). Does inflation harm economic growth in Jordan? An econometric analysis for the panel 1970–2000. International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, 1(2), 41–66.

Tobin, J. (1965). Money and economic growth. Econometrica, 33(4), 671–684.

Yang, H. (2000). A Note on Causal Relationship between Energy and GDP in Taiwan. Energy Economics, 22(3), 309-

Downloads

Published

30-11-2023

How to Cite

Monica, & Singh, A. (2023). Impact of Inflation on Economic Growth in the Indian Economy. Social Science Journal for Advanced Research, 3(6), 23–29. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11080262